QUOTE (Tony Beach @ Oct 3 2008, 05:43 PM)

"We believe the users benefit from being able to trim or crop their pictures, and also to produce large prints, and most of these benefits we aim to provide by increasing megapixels."
I believe this is a mistake driven by simplistic marketing. This was a reply to a question about the G10 and its excessive number of megapixels, but it applies to the 50D and 5DII as well. Consider that Maeda san is arguing having extra megapixels is primarily a solution to poor framing or lack of lens reach. Well greater detail is gained in larger prints if the lens is kept at or near wide open, it comes at a cost of noise. Now you pay the price of larger file sizes for every image you take, even when you will only need those extra pixels very infrequently to print really large. Ironically, Maeda san concedes that diffraction at smaller apertures also limits the efficacy of these extra pixels and when pressed on this he said, "To some extent I agree with you, which is why we're looking at the possibility of adding diversity to the G10, which would be the answer to those looking for something other than high megapixel count." However, there is no indication whatsoever, anywhere in Canon's line that they will go in this direction.
Tony,
What you, DPR, and others who naysay larger pixel density seem to disregard in your arguments is that sensor technology leading to lower noise, greater sensitivity, and deeper wells is evolving and not static. We have been through this discussion many times, notably most recently on the long 5D Mark II announcement thread. It is not as though the science is currently up against any fundamental limitations of physics, as far as I know. The quality of the 5D Mark II pixels is not to be confused with either the quality of 5D pixels or even of 1Ds Mark III pixels, for that matter. Maeda-san also makes that point in the interview. (That was one of the "revealing" aspects of the interview, by the way, in partial answer to your earlier question... in essence an admission that the 5D Mark II surpasses the 1Ds Mark III IQ.) And, Canon technical press releases provide a not insignificant amount of detail as to how Canon has achieved higher pixel performance while increasing density.
And yet, one after another of your forum statements appear to presume that pixel performance (per pixel area, let's say) has been and continues to be static. That is not a reasonable position. In as much as you seem to be Nikon-centric, think of it this way: If IQ per pixel area were static, why is it that D3 IQ is generally considered to be superior to 5D IQ? Reason: A two-year plus jump in sensor technology.
I fear that you are unreasonably painting yourself into a corner. What are you going to say when the reviews are published showing the 5D Mark II IQ to be equal or superior to that of the old, 12 mp 5D? Maybe you will simply disagree with the judgment of the reviewers? Judging by the queues that are forming to buy the 5D Mark II, it appears that most people get this.
I predict that within 10 years the MF market will have all but dried up because the 1Ds Mark xx (and Nikon equivalents, of course) will be at current-day MF IQ at 40mp and very few photographers will care to spend lavish amounts of money for the tiny incremental gains that MF will provide.
Bruce